![]() ![]() The Rays are a good offense, no doubt about it, but on the road in the last 30 days against righties, they have a 99 wRC+. These are all great, but what he will give us at the big-league level is still a question. Both parks are extremely hitter-friendly. He’s now landing the slider for a strike at a 73% clip in his last 3 starts, which was at Vegas twice in a row and then at home. But in his last three starts, his strike rate has jumped by 7%, and his chase rate against his entire arsenal has jumped by nearly 10%. He allowed a lot of hard contact, which ballooned his 圎RA to almost eight. He had major issues getting swings and misses, and his command was sometimes spotty. Neither of these two scares me at all.īrandon Pfaadt has made some intriguing developments. They get to face another right-hander in Yonny Chirinos, who has a 5.58 圎RA with below-average stuff. Arizona is posting 118 wRC+ since June began against righties, good for fourth in baseball. He’s rocking a 52% Hard-Hit rate this season, and his main two pitches have a. He’s a career 4.25 ERA guy with little success around major league baseball. Zack Littell will open this game, and maybe he scoots past an inning with no runs, but I wouldn’t totally count on that. At the same time, I have little to no faith in a combination of Zack Littell and Yony Chirinos. I like what I saw a lot from him when he returned to the minor leagues, but you never truly know how they’ll respond. This is also a half-unit play because it’s a real gamble on Brandon Pfaadt. Arizona Diamondbacks 3:40 PM EST Pitching Matchup: Zack Littell vs. Tigers Under 9 (+100) 0.5 U to win 0.5 U Tampa Bay Rays vs. If it continues to crash, keep it at a half unit as long as it’s at nine. This is soaring over or a sneaky under, so we might as well get plus money. 9.5 at -120 is still out there, but I chose +100 on 9. The model capped this total at 7.5 (-114), and now we have no Corey Seager in the Rangers lineup. If needed, the Rangers could go to Anderson, Barlow, King, Burke, and SBorz. The Tigers’ best three arms are good to go Cisnero, Foley, and Lange. The best arms will all be available in both bullpens, making this bet worth it. Dane Dunning gave the Rangers 8.2 innings last night so the bullpen got a nice breather. The Tigers have a 94 wRC+ against lefties in June, ranking 16th in the league. The Tigers’ better split is against left-handers, and we already saw them touch up Andrew Heaney, then struggle against Martin Perez. On the flip side, we have Cody Bradford, a left-hander that doesn’t inspire much confidence. That said, the Rangers did put up 10 runs today, so we could see their bats be slower than usual. That is another reason why I’m surprised by this line move. He is going up against a prolific offense the Rangers rank third in wRC+ at 125. ![]() He’s also averaging 95 MPH with his fastball and sinker. His man pitch, his slider, has a ton of spin, and it’s holding opponents to a. He has an above-average strikeout rate, walk rate, and Hard-Hit rate. He’s sitting with a 3.82 圎RA and a 3.34 SIERA, which says his 4.72 ERA should come down. Outside of a rough start against the Braves, Olson has been allowed three runs or less in his other four starts, with three of them being two or fewer. They loved Tarik Skubal, deservedly so, and I’m seeing a lot of buss surrounding Olson. Tigers fans are smart and don’t often get good young pitchers on the mound. I’m a weirdo, so I will sometimes spend nights looking at how fanbases are reacting to their rookie players on Twitter. Reese Olson is making Tigers fans excited. I do like how the Tigers bullpen stacks up along with a talented young pitcher in Reese Olson, so it’s worth a sprinkle. It was also supposed to be Jon Gray starting for the Rangers, but now Cody Bradford holds a 5.40 ERA. This total opened at 10 and has crashed down with more tickets on the over. This is a half-unit sprinkle because it’s more of a line read. Detroit Tigers 2:05 PM EST Pitching Matchup: Reese Olson vs. All Bullpen Screenshots are courtesy of Rotowire. ![]()
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